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Red199
198777.0
674418.0
170697.9
Blue18
871910.7
425626.5
99999.2
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23939010015020030035040019918

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+49Auto
+163Teleop
+175Endgame
+181Fouls
AutonomousRed +49
6Leave6
10Coral scored#0
49Coral points0
55Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +114
24Coral scored#1
86Coral points2
1Processor algae#0
6Net algae#0
6Processor points0
24Net points0
30Algae points0
116Total teleop2
Reef
12L4#1
9L3#0
7L2#0
6L1 · trough#0
41Game pieces#1
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +181
12Foul points6
199Total score18

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
97.90.1
97.397.3
Auto21.5
Teleop65.4
End11.0
red by 71.4
4256
#29
26.50.8
27.326.5
Auto5.6
Teleop17.8
End3.2
Second
77.00.1
76.576.4
Auto18.0
Teleop49.9
End9.3
red by 66.3
8719
#15
10.70.8
11.510.7
Auto2.8
Teleop7.0
End0.9
Third
6744
#26
18.00.1
17.517.4
Auto2.5
Teleop14.4
End1.3
red by 8.8
9999
#14
9.21.4
10.69.2
Auto2.7
Teleop4.7
End1.4