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Red40
128812.6
493121.6
509819.8
Blue58
999625.0
495920.4
51256.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67320501001502002504058

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+12
Teleop+10
Endgame+18
Fouls+18
AutonomousBlue +12
0Leave3
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points12
3Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +2
7Coral scored#4
25Coral points15
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
6Processor points6
0Net points8
6Algae points14
31Total teleop29
Reef
2L4#2
2L3#1
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points0
40Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4931
#23
21.62.3
18.416.1
Auto3.7
Teleop10.9
End7.1
blue by 3.4
25.01.4
8.610.0
Auto6.0
Teleop12.6
End6.1
Second
5098
#27
19.81.8
25.223.4
Auto5.7
Teleop12.8
End1.2
blue by 0.6
4959
#12
20.40.8
18.919.7
Auto4.8
Teleop14.5
End1.2
Third
1288
#24
12.61.8
12.410.6
Auto1.2
Teleop10.5
End0.9
red by 6.1
5125
#31DQ
6.60.8
7.48.3
Auto2.8
Teleop3.8
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsMissed40%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsMissed9%Barge oddsEarned