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Red141
681722.8
517615.0
170697.9
Blue69
747225.2
432936.1
871910.7
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1518005010020025014169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+58Teleop
+72Endgame
+72Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave6
7Coral scored#2
34Coral points10
37Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +37
17Coral scored#10
60Coral points37
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
12Processor points6
16Net points8
28Algae points14
88Total teleop51
Reef
7L4#4
7L3#5
6L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
30Game pieces#15
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +72
0Foul points0
141Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
97.90.8
91.091.8
Auto21.5
Teleop65.4
End11.0
red by 61.8
4329
#18
36.11.0
44.843.8
Auto9.6
Teleop25.2
End1.3
Second
22.80.9
16.217.1
Auto4.7
Teleop15.4
End2.7
blue by 2.4
7472
#11
25.21.0
24.723.7
Auto5.7
Teleop16.5
End3.0
Third
15.00.9
16.517.4
Auto4.9
Teleop8.6
End1.4
red by 4.2
8719
#15
10.71.0
9.88.7
Auto2.8
Teleop7.0
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned60%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
22%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsEarned23%Barge oddsMissed