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Red117
450059.7
495920.4
120829.5
Blue173
871910.7
339721.6
170697.9
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions118136050100150200250300117173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+54
Endgame+56
Fouls+56
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave3
2Coral scored#5
11Coral points27
20Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +44
16Coral scored#25
57Coral points91
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#6
6Processor points12
20Net points24
26Algae points36
83Total teleop127
Reef
6L4#11
7L3#8
3L2#7
2L1 · trough#4
24Game pieces#38
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +56
0Foul points0
117Total score173

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4500
#10
59.70.9
59.858.9
Auto17.1
Teleop36.1
End6.5
blue by 38.2
97.92.3
91.894.1
Auto21.5
Teleop65.4
End11.0
Second
1208
#19
29.50.9
30.629.8
Auto5.6
Teleop19.5
End4.4
red by 7.9
21.62.6
18.020.6
Auto4.2
Teleop15.4
End2.1
Third
4959
#12
20.40.9
19.718.8
Auto4.8
Teleop14.5
End1.2
red by 9.7
8719
#15
10.72.3
8.711.1
Auto2.8
Teleop7.0
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsMissed81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed43%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
80%Barge oddsEarned76%Barge oddsEarned