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Red33
806925.8
509819.8
711711.5
Blue105
432936.1
940151.8
517615.0
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56129010015020033105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+27
Teleop+64
Endgame+72
Fouls+72
AutonomousBlue +27
0Leave3
1Coral scored#6
6Coral points30
6Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +37
5Coral scored#9
17Coral points32
0Processor algae#3
1Net algae#2
0Processor points18
4Net points8
4Algae points26
21Total teleop58
Reef
2L4#6
2L3#3
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
7Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +72
0Foul points0
33Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8069
#21
25.81.7
25.323.6
Auto2.6
Teleop20.4
End2.8
blue by 26.1
51.80.4
49.148.8
Auto14.0
Teleop31.4
End6.4
Second
5098
#27
19.81.7
23.421.6
Auto5.7
Teleop12.8
End1.2
blue by 16.3
4329
#18
36.10.4
43.843.4
Auto9.6
Teleop25.2
End1.3
Third
7117
#17
11.51.9
10.38.4
Auto3.6
Teleop4.8
End3.1
blue by 3.4
15.00.4
17.417.0
Auto4.9
Teleop8.6
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsMissed89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsMissed46%Barge oddsEarned