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Red89
681722.8
725511.0
450059.7
Blue152
940151.8
120829.5
421334.4
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9612705015020025089152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+49
Endgame+51
Fouls+63
AutonomousBlue +21
3Leave9
4Coral scored#7
20Coral points35
23Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +28
12Coral scored#17
42Coral points62
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
52Total teleop80
Reef
4L4#9
6L3#5
3L2#7
3L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +63
0Foul points12
89Total score152

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4500
#10
59.70.1
59.859.7
Auto17.1
Teleop36.1
End6.5
red by 7.9
51.80.6
51.051.6
Auto14.0
Teleop31.4
End6.4
Second
22.80.1
22.922.8
Auto4.7
Teleop15.4
End2.7
blue by 11.6
4213
#13
34.40.6
33.534.1
Auto10.3
Teleop23.8
End0.2
Third
7255
#28
11.00.1
11.111.0
Auto1.7
Teleop7.5
End1.8
blue by 18.5
1208
#19
29.50.6
28.629.2
Auto5.6
Teleop19.5
End4.4