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Red160
414372.0
999625.0
493121.6
Blue112
747225.2
379240.8
517615.0
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125108406080100140160180160112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+23Auto
+48Teleop
+48Endgame
+48Fouls
AutonomousRed +23
9Leave3
7Coral scored#3
33Coral points16
42Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +25
23Coral scored#15
84Coral points53
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#7
12Processor points6
16Net points28
28Algae points34
112Total teleop87
Reef
11L4#7
9L3#4
4L2#3
6L1 · trough#4
36Game pieces#26
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +48
0Foul points0
160Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.00.5
67.367.9
Auto18.1
Teleop49.7
End4.3
red by 31.2
3792
#20
40.80.1
41.441.5
Auto9.1
Teleop24.8
End7.1
Second
25.00.9
17.118.0
Auto6.0
Teleop12.6
End6.1
blue by 0.2
7472
#11
25.20.1
25.725.8
Auto5.7
Teleop16.5
End3.0
Third
4931
#23
21.60.5
16.917.4
Auto3.7
Teleop10.9
End7.1
red by 6.7
15.00.1
15.515.6
Auto4.9
Teleop8.6
End1.4