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Red60
871910.7
425626.5
99999.2
Blue113
806925.8
495920.4
639134.2
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6395020408012014016060113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+53
Endgame+53
Fouls+53
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave6
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points14
6Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +39
7Coral scored#21
26Coral points75
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
50Total teleop89
Reef
2L4#9
4L3#8
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
13Game pieces#27
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +53
0Foul points0
60Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4256
#29
26.50.0
26.526.5
Auto5.6
Teleop17.8
End3.2
blue by 7.7
34.20.4
33.834.3
Auto8.0
Teleop21.8
End4.5
Second
8719
#15
10.70.0
10.710.7
Auto2.8
Teleop7.0
End0.9
blue by 15.0
8069
#21
25.80.4
25.425.8
Auto2.6
Teleop20.4
End2.8
Third
9999
#14
9.20.0
9.29.2
Auto2.7
Teleop4.7
End1.4
blue by 11.2
4959
#12
20.40.4
20.020.4
Auto4.8
Teleop14.5
End1.2