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Red52
339721.6
132926.2
432936.1
Blue82
747225.2
379240.8
517615.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1081030501502005282

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+18
Endgame+30
Fouls+30
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave0
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points16
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +15
8Coral scored#7
27Coral points24
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#5
0Processor points6
8Net points20
8Algae points26
35Total teleop50
Reef
3L4#4
2L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +30
0Foul points0
52Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4329
#18
36.10.8
36.936.1
Auto9.6
Teleop25.2
End1.3
blue by 4.8
3792
#20
40.80.0
41.541.5
Auto9.1
Teleop24.8
End7.1
Second
1329
#16
26.20.8
27.026.2
Auto3.2
Teleop22.2
End0.9
red by 1.1
7472
#11
25.20.0
25.825.8
Auto5.7
Teleop16.5
End3.0
Third
21.60.8
22.421.6
Auto4.2
Teleop15.4
End2.1
red by 6.6
15.00.0
15.615.6
Auto4.9
Teleop8.6
End1.4