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Red173
198777.0
674418.0
170697.9
Blue129
940151.8
120829.5
421334.4
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions225111050150200250300173129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+54Teleop
+44Endgame
+44Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave9
6Coral scored#6
31Coral points28
40Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +51
29Coral scored#16
105Coral points58
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
6Processor points6
16Net points12
22Algae points18
127Total teleop76
Reef
9L4#6
15L3#6
6L2#6
5L1 · trough#4
40Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +44
0Foul points0
173Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
97.90.4
97.396.9
Auto21.5
Teleop65.4
End11.0
red by 46.1
51.80.4
50.650.9
Auto14.0
Teleop31.4
End6.4
Second
77.00.4
76.476.0
Auto18.0
Teleop49.9
End9.3
red by 42.6
4213
#13
34.40.4
33.133.5
Auto10.3
Teleop23.8
End0.2
Third
6744
#26
18.00.4
17.417.0
Auto2.5
Teleop14.4
End1.3
blue by 11.5
1208
#19
29.50.4
28.228.6
Auto5.6
Teleop19.5
End4.4