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Red211
316023.7
198767.5
580160.1
Blue98
882540.3
93529.9
706418.7
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1708805015020025021198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+81Teleop
+91Endgame
+113Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
9Leave9
5Coral scored#1
24Coral points7
33Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +64
28Coral scored#16
102Coral points56
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
12Processor points6
16Net points4
28Algae points10
130Total teleop66
Reef
16L4#6
9L3#3
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
39Game pieces#19
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +113
22Foul points0
211Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.50.9
66.667.5
Auto13.5
Teleop43.4
End10.5
red by 27.2
40.30.2
40.140.3
Auto4.5
Teleop30.5
End5.3
Second
60.10.9
59.260.1
Auto10.9
Teleop42.1
End7.1
red by 30.2
935
#33
29.90.2
29.729.9
Auto3.2
Teleop23.6
End3.2
Third
3160
#21
23.70.9
22.823.7
Auto2.8
Teleop17.1
End3.8
red by 5.0
7064
#11
18.70.2
18.418.7
Auto3.5
Teleop11.9
End3.3