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Red168
316023.7
198767.5
580160.1
Blue103
882540.3
93529.9
941047.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16412450100150200250168103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+57Teleop
+59Endgame
+65Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave0
3Coral scored#3
14Coral points13
23Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +47
25Coral scored#12
89Coral points42
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
113Total teleop66
Reef
13L4#6
7L3#3
3L2#3
5L1 · trough#3
33Game pieces#20
BargeRed +2
26Cage & park24
26Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +65
6Foul points0
168Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.50.3
66.366.6
Auto13.5
Teleop43.4
End10.5
red by 20.3
9410
#14
47.20.3
47.547.2
Auto7.9
Teleop29.5
End9.8
Second
60.10.3
58.959.2
Auto10.9
Teleop42.1
End7.1
red by 19.8
40.30.3
40.440.1
Auto4.5
Teleop30.5
End5.3
Third
3160
#21
23.70.3
22.522.8
Auto2.8
Teleop17.1
End3.8
blue by 6.2
935
#33
29.90.3
30.029.7
Auto3.2
Teleop23.6
End3.2