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Red147
882540.3
93529.9
941047.2
Blue119
555039.0
445516.4
596837.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1339650150200250147119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
+10Teleop
+20Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave3
1Coral scored#5
7Coral points27
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +24
19Coral scored#16
67Coral points59
2Processor algae#2
7Net algae#3
12Processor points12
28Net points12
40Algae points24
107Total teleop83
Reef
10L4#7
4L3#6
4L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#26
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +28
8Foul points0
147Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9410
#14
47.20.4
47.147.5
Auto7.9
Teleop29.5
End9.8
red by 8.1
5550
#17
39.00.6
38.439.0
Auto7.7
Teleop28.0
End3.3
Second
40.30.4
40.040.4
Auto4.5
Teleop30.5
End5.3
red by 2.9
37.40.6
36.837.4
Auto10.0
Teleop23.8
End3.6
Third
935
#33
29.90.4
29.630.0
Auto3.2
Teleop23.6
End3.2
red by 13.5
4455
#32
16.40.6
15.916.4
Auto4.7
Teleop7.4
End4.4