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Red91
235740.6
199730.3
512632.4
Blue115
555039.0
445516.4
596837.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116965015020091115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+18
Endgame+26
Fouls+24
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave3
3Coral scored#5
14Coral points27
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +11
11Coral scored#13
38Coral points45
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
6Processor points6
12Net points16
18Algae points22
56Total teleop67
Reef
6L4#6
4L3#3
3L2#6
1L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +24
6Foul points4
91Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2357
#10
40.60.4
41.140.6
Auto9.2
Teleop28.3
End3.2
red by 1.6
5550
#17
39.00.5
37.938.4
Auto7.7
Teleop28.0
End3.3
Second
5126
#18
32.40.4
32.832.4
Auto5.3
Teleop25.2
End1.9
blue by 5.0
37.40.5
36.336.8
Auto10.0
Teleop23.8
End3.6
Third
1997
#23
30.30.4
30.730.3
Auto3.6
Teleop25.9
End0.7
red by 13.9
4455
#32
16.40.5
15.415.9
Auto4.7
Teleop7.4
End4.4