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Red174
316023.7
198767.5
580160.1
Blue143
941047.2
93529.9
882540.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16412150100150200250174143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+19Teleop
+19Endgame
+31Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
3Coral scored#3
17Coral points17
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +19
27Coral scored#19
97Coral points68
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#5
12Processor points18
16Net points20
28Algae points38
125Total teleop106
Reef
11L4#6
8L3#8
5L2#4
6L1 · trough#4
36Game pieces#30
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +31
12Foul points0
174Total score143

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.50.3
65.966.3
Auto13.5
Teleop43.4
End10.5
red by 20.3
9410
#14
47.20.6
46.547.1
Auto7.9
Teleop29.5
End9.8
Second
60.10.3
58.658.9
Auto10.9
Teleop42.1
End7.1
red by 19.8
40.30.6
39.440.0
Auto4.5
Teleop30.5
End5.3
Third
3160
#21
23.70.3
22.122.5
Auto2.8
Teleop17.1
End3.8
blue by 6.2
935
#33
29.90.6
29.029.6
Auto3.2
Teleop23.6
End3.2