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Red96
555039.0
182541.9
942833.4
Blue99
171049.2
245729.6
425635.5
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88122501001509699

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+13Teleop
Endgame+3
Fouls+3
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave6
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points13
16Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +16
16Coral scored#13
56Coral points46
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
76Total teleop60
Reef
7L4#4
5L3#6
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +16
4Cage & park20
4Total endgame20
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
0Foul points0
96Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1825
#16
41.90.7
37.137.8
Auto11.8
Teleop26.1
End3.9
blue by 7.3
49.20.9
41.841.0
Auto10.9
Teleop35.6
End2.6
Second
5550
#17
39.01.1
24.325.4
Auto7.7
Teleop28.0
End3.3
red by 3.6
35.50.9
41.040.0
Auto7.7
Teleop21.5
End6.3
Third
9428
#19
33.40.8
24.425.2
Auto4.9
Teleop25.4
End3.1
red by 3.8
29.60.8
27.927.1
Auto3.3
Teleop23.6
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed46%Barge oddsEarned