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Red55
580944.9
128812.4
177524.0
Blue68
445516.4
962619.6
184736.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75733040506080901001105568

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+9
Endgame+15
Fouls+13
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave3
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points13
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +6
7Coral scored#8
24Coral points28
0Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
0Processor points6
16Net points12
16Algae points18
40Total teleop46
Reef
3L4#3
2L3#4
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +6
0Cage & park6
0Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
2Foul points0
55Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.90.8
31.230.5
Auto8.8
Teleop33.9
End2.2
red by 8.6
1847
#13
36.30.2
41.241.0
Auto7.1
Teleop27.0
End2.2
Second
1775
#28
24.00.9
20.619.7
Auto4.9
Teleop16.9
End2.1
red by 4.4
9626
#25
19.60.3
16.916.6
Auto0.9
Teleop16.4
End2.3
Third
1288
#35
12.40.9
11.811.0
Auto2.3
Teleop8.8
End1.3
blue by 4.0
4455
#32
16.40.2
12.812.6
Auto4.7
Teleop7.4
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsMissed58%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsMissed