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Red69
198214.2
962619.6
180218.2
Blue97
509833.7
684320.0
664736.7
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions638702040801001201406997

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+16
Endgame+28
Fouls+28
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +13
13Coral scored#15
45Coral points54
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
59Total teleop72
Reef
6L4#6
3L3#5
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
0Foul points0
69Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9626
#25
19.60.3
16.616.3
Auto0.9
Teleop16.4
End2.3
blue by 17.1
6647
#29
36.70.6
39.139.7
Auto3.8
Teleop30.6
End2.3
Second
1802
#26
18.20.3
22.522.1
Auto2.0
Teleop15.0
End1.2
blue by 15.4
5098
#15
33.70.6
23.524.0
Auto5.1
Teleop22.6
End5.9
Third
1982
#34
14.20.3
21.821.5
Auto3.1
Teleop8.4
End2.7
blue by 5.8
6843
#22
20.00.6
14.415.0
Auto3.7
Teleop10.5
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
25%Auto oddsMissed33%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsEarned