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Red80
596837.4
425635.5
128812.4
Blue115
882540.3
941047.2
176318.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions857205010015020080115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+13
Endgame+35
Fouls+35
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave0
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points16
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +20
11Coral scored#14
41Coral points49
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#5
6Processor points6
8Net points20
14Algae points26
55Total teleop75
Reef
5L4#6
4L3#5
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +22
2Cage & park24
2Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +35
0Foul points0
80Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.40.1
25.325.1
Auto10.0
Teleop23.8
End3.6
blue by 9.8
9410
#14
47.23.0
30.433.4
Auto7.9
Teleop29.5
End9.8
Second
35.50.2
40.039.9
Auto7.7
Teleop21.5
End6.3
blue by 4.9
40.33.0
22.725.7
Auto4.5
Teleop30.5
End5.3
Third
1288
#35
12.40.2
11.010.8
Auto2.3
Teleop8.8
End1.3
blue by 5.8
1763
#31
18.23.0
11.814.8
Auto3.8
Teleop13.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned46%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsEarned