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Red105
316023.7
580944.9
580160.1
Blue96
177524.0
596837.4
171049.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions919740608012014016010596

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+1Teleop
+9Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave0
3Coral scored#5
14Coral points26
23Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +4
10Coral scored#11
36Coral points40
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
12Processor points12
20Net points12
32Algae points24
68Total teleop64
Reef
6L4#7
2L3#3
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#21
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points0
105Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.11.2
45.246.4
Auto10.9
Teleop42.1
End7.1
red by 11.0
49.20.4
43.143.5
Auto10.9
Teleop35.6
End2.6
Second
44.91.2
30.531.7
Auto8.8
Teleop33.9
End2.2
red by 7.5
37.40.4
26.326.7
Auto10.0
Teleop23.8
End3.6
Third
3160
#21
23.71.2
11.212.4
Auto2.8
Teleop17.1
End3.8
blue by 0.3
1775
#28
24.00.4
21.121.4
Auto4.9
Teleop16.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsMissed