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Red68
425635.5
199730.3
512632.4
Blue45
182541.9
706418.7
445516.4
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11170501001506845

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+33Teleop
+23Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave3
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points13
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +40
8Coral scored#3
29Coral points9
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
12Processor points0
12Net points4
24Algae points4
53Total teleop13
Reef
4L4#2
4L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +23
0Foul points0
68Total score45

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.52.0
42.840.8
Auto7.7
Teleop21.5
End6.3
blue by 6.4
1825
#16
41.91.6
37.135.6
Auto11.8
Teleop26.1
End3.9
Second
5126
#18
32.42.0
27.625.6
Auto5.3
Teleop25.2
End1.9
red by 13.7
7064
#11
18.72.6
18.616.0
Auto3.5
Teleop11.9
End3.3
Third
1997
#23
30.32.0
27.325.3
Auto3.6
Teleop25.9
End0.7
red by 13.9
4455
#32
16.41.6
13.011.4
Auto4.7
Teleop7.4
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsMissed77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed13%Barge oddsEarned