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Red84
684320.0
941047.2
162223.5
Blue106
962619.6
328443.3
173055.5
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6514505010020084106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+24
Endgame+22
Fouls+22
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave0
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points16
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +14
13Coral scored#13
48Coral points48
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
62Total teleop76
Reef
5L4#6
3L3#5
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#22
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +22
0Foul points0
84Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9410
#14
47.21.3
34.235.5
Auto7.9
Teleop29.5
End9.8
blue by 8.4
55.50.9
60.559.5
Auto12.4
Teleop34.8
End8.4
Second
1622
#30
23.51.3
12.714.0
Auto5.2
Teleop16.3
End1.9
blue by 19.8
3284
#12
43.30.9
39.638.7
Auto6.5
Teleop35.1
End1.6
Third
6843
#22
20.01.3
17.919.2
Auto3.7
Teleop10.5
End5.7
red by 0.4
9626
#25
19.61.5
19.718.2
Auto0.9
Teleop16.4
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsMissed90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed23%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
64%Barge oddsEarned50%Barge oddsEarned