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Red87
235740.6
180218.2
591820.2
Blue62
942833.4
198214.2
128812.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7662020401001201408762

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+21Teleop
+19Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +18
11Coral scored#6
38Coral points22
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#3
6Processor points0
8Net points12
14Algae points12
52Total teleop34
Reef
5L4#2
3L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +25
24Foul points18
87Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2357
#10
40.60.5
32.732.1
Auto9.2
Teleop28.3
End3.2
red by 7.3
9428
#19
33.41.1
29.128.0
Auto4.9
Teleop25.4
End3.1
Second
5918
#27
20.20.9
15.214.3
Auto2.6
Teleop16.1
End1.5
red by 6.0
1982
#34
14.21.8
19.017.2
Auto3.1
Teleop8.4
End2.7
Third
1802
#26
18.20.9
20.319.4
Auto2.0
Teleop15.0
End1.2
red by 5.8
1288
#35
12.41.1
9.48.4
Auto2.3
Teleop8.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsMissed22%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsEarned