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Red116
245729.6
180611.2
882540.3
Blue30
664736.7
555039.0
93529.9
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6411005010015011630

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+50Teleop
+66Endgame
+86Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +50
14Coral scored#4
52Coral points14
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#0
6Processor points6
12Net points0
18Algae points6
70Total teleop20
Reef
5L4#2
5L3#1
4L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#6
BargeRed +16
20Cage & park4
20Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +86
20Foul points0
116Total score30

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.31.9
27.729.6
Auto4.5
Teleop30.5
End5.3
red by 1.3
5550
#17
39.07.9
27.819.9
Auto7.7
Teleop28.0
End3.3
Second
29.61.9
26.027.9
Auto3.3
Teleop23.6
End2.6
blue by 7.1
6647
#29
36.74.7
38.333.6
Auto3.8
Teleop30.6
End2.3
Third
1806
#36
11.21.9
8.310.2
Auto1.5
Teleop6.6
End3.1
blue by 18.7
935
#33
29.94.7
28.924.2
Auto3.2
Teleop23.6
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsMissed47%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsEarned13%Barge oddsMissed