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Red64
316023.7
182541.9
425635.5
Blue175
176318.2
580160.1
198767.5
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions891265010015020064175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+25
Teleop+95
Endgame+105
Fouls+111
AutonomousBlue +25
0Leave3
2Coral scored#6
9Coral points31
9Total auto34
TeleoperatedBlue +70
10Coral scored#26
37Coral points93
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
6Processor points12
4Net points12
10Algae points24
47Total teleop117
Reef
4L4#10
3L3#9
3L2#8
2L1 · trough#5
14Game pieces#37
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +111
2Foul points8
64Total score175

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1825
#16
41.91.8
35.633.8
Auto11.8
Teleop26.1
End3.9
blue by 25.6
67.53.6
52.956.4
Auto13.5
Teleop43.4
End10.5
Second
35.51.8
40.839.1
Auto7.7
Teleop21.5
End6.3
blue by 24.7
60.13.6
46.449.9
Auto10.9
Teleop42.1
End7.1
Third
3160
#21
23.71.8
12.410.7
Auto2.8
Teleop17.1
End3.8
red by 5.5
1763
#31
18.23.6
14.317.9
Auto3.8
Teleop13.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsMissed87%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed93%Barge oddsEarned