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Red132
173055.5
706418.7
171049.2
Blue116
176923.8
580944.9
962619.6
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13168050100150132116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+5
+2Teleop
+14Endgame
+16Fouls
AutonomousBlue +5
9Leave9
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points12
16Total auto21
TeleoperatedRed +7
20Coral scored#16
72Coral points59
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#4
12Processor points18
16Net points16
28Algae points34
100Total teleop93
Reef
8L4#5
5L3#5
5L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#25
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +16
2Foul points0
132Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.50.7
59.560.3
Auto12.4
Teleop34.8
End8.4
red by 10.7
44.92.8
31.734.5
Auto8.8
Teleop33.9
End2.2
Second
49.20.7
43.544.2
Auto10.9
Teleop35.6
End2.6
red by 25.4
1769
#20
23.82.8
23.426.2
Auto4.6
Teleop17.6
End1.6
Third
7064
#11
18.71.2
16.017.2
Auto3.5
Teleop11.9
End3.3
blue by 0.9
9626
#25
19.64.7
18.222.9
Auto0.9
Teleop16.4
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
74%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsMissed