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Red79
198214.2
177524.0
941047.2
Blue86
180218.2
128812.4
526840.0
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8562020401001201401607986

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
Teleop+5
Endgame+7
Fouls+7
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave0
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points9
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +15
7Coral scored#11
26Coral points41
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
40Total teleop55
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#4
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
6Foul points6
79Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9410
#14
47.20.1
35.535.4
Auto7.9
Teleop29.5
End9.8
red by 7.2
5268
#24
40.01.3
32.633.9
Auto6.2
Teleop28.3
End5.5
Second
1775
#28
24.00.1
21.421.3
Auto4.9
Teleop16.9
End2.1
red by 5.7
1802
#26
18.22.2
19.421.6
Auto2.0
Teleop15.0
End1.2
Third
1982
#34
14.20.1
17.217.1
Auto3.1
Teleop8.4
End2.7
red by 1.8
1288
#35
12.41.3
8.49.7
Auto2.3
Teleop8.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsEarned18%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
62%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsEarned