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Red92
445516.4
512632.4
235740.6
Blue53
180611.2
93529.9
162223.5
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions804902040601001201409253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+37Teleop
+39Endgame
+39Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave6
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points3
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +27
11Coral scored#8
41Coral points30
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#1
6Processor points6
20Net points4
26Algae points10
67Total teleop40
Reef
4L4#4
5L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#11
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +39
0Foul points0
92Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2357
#10
40.61.5
32.133.7
Auto9.2
Teleop28.3
End3.2
red by 10.7
935
#33
29.90.3
24.224.5
Auto3.2
Teleop23.6
End3.2
Second
5126
#18
32.41.5
25.627.1
Auto5.3
Teleop25.2
End1.9
red by 8.9
1622
#30
23.50.3
14.014.3
Auto5.2
Teleop16.3
End1.9
Third
4455
#32
16.41.5
11.412.9
Auto4.7
Teleop7.4
End4.4
red by 5.2
1806
#36
11.20.3
10.210.5
Auto1.5
Teleop6.6
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned22%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsMissed