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Red139
171049.2
235740.6
328443.3
Blue57
596837.4
684320.0
198214.2
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions137665010015020013957

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+82Teleop
+80Endgame
+82Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
9Leave3
5Coral scored#3
24Coral points13
33Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +65
21Coral scored#4
74Coral points15
0Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
0Processor points6
16Net points4
16Algae points10
90Total teleop25
Reef
11L4#2
6L3#3
4L2#1
5L1 · trough#1
30Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +82
2Foul points0
139Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.21.3
44.245.5
Auto10.9
Teleop35.6
End2.6
red by 11.8
37.40.7
30.129.4
Auto10.0
Teleop23.8
End3.6
Second
3284
#12
43.31.3
39.340.6
Auto6.5
Teleop35.1
End1.6
red by 23.3
6843
#22
20.00.7
20.119.4
Auto3.7
Teleop10.5
End5.7
Third
2357
#10
40.61.3
33.735.0
Auto9.2
Teleop28.3
End3.2
red by 26.4
1982
#34
14.21.1
17.115.9
Auto3.1
Teleop8.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsEarned43%Barge oddsEarned