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Red54
245729.6
176318.2
128812.4
Blue93
512632.4
180611.2
316023.7
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions604902040801001205493

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+15
Endgame+19
Fouls+39
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points4
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +11
8Coral scored#9
27Coral points32
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
35Total teleop46
Reef
4L4#4
2L3#3
1L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +4
10Cage & park14
10Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +39
0Foul points20
54Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.60.1
28.628.4
Auto3.3
Teleop23.6
End2.6
blue by 2.8
5126
#18
32.41.7
27.128.8
Auto5.3
Teleop25.2
End1.9
Second
1763
#31
18.20.1
17.917.7
Auto3.8
Teleop13.2
End1.2
blue by 5.5
3160
#21
23.71.7
10.712.3
Auto2.8
Teleop17.1
End3.8
Third
1288
#35
12.40.1
9.79.5
Auto2.3
Teleop8.8
End1.3
red by 1.2
1806
#36
11.21.7
10.512.1
Auto1.5
Teleop6.6
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
24%Auto oddsMissed23%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed8%Barge oddsEarned