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Red168
198767.5
664736.7
580944.9
Blue130
526840.0
177524.0
182541.9
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1388750100150200168130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+28Teleop
+38Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave0
5Coral scored#6
27Coral points30
33Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +25
22Coral scored#21
79Coral points76
2Processor algae#1
7Net algae#3
12Processor points6
28Net points12
40Algae points18
119Total teleop94
Reef
12L4#8
6L3#7
4L2#7
5L1 · trough#5
36Game pieces#31
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +38
0Foul points0
168Total score130

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.52.1
56.458.5
Auto13.5
Teleop43.4
End10.5
red by 25.6
1825
#16
41.92.0
33.835.7
Auto11.8
Teleop26.1
End3.9
Second
44.92.1
34.536.6
Auto8.8
Teleop33.9
End2.2
red by 4.9
5268
#24
40.02.0
33.935.9
Auto6.2
Teleop28.3
End5.5
Third
6647
#29
36.72.1
34.336.4
Auto3.8
Teleop30.6
End2.3
red by 12.7
1775
#28
24.02.0
21.323.3
Auto4.9
Teleop16.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsEarned9%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
52%Barge oddsEarned43%Barge oddsMissed