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Red84
128812.4
171049.2
684320.0
Blue118
706418.7
235740.6
580160.1
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7110240608012014016084118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+20
Endgame+34
Fouls+34
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave3
3Coral scored#5
17Coral points24
23Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +16
13Coral scored#14
45Coral points51
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
59Total teleop75
Reef
7L4#4
4L3#7
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
19Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +34
0Foul points0
84Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.20.6
45.546.2
Auto10.9
Teleop35.6
End2.6
blue by 11.0
60.11.5
48.349.8
Auto10.9
Teleop42.1
End7.1
Second
6843
#22
20.00.6
19.420.1
Auto3.7
Teleop10.5
End5.7
blue by 20.7
2357
#10
40.61.5
35.036.5
Auto9.2
Teleop28.3
End3.2
Third
1288
#35
12.40.6
9.510.2
Auto2.3
Teleop8.8
End1.3
blue by 6.2
7064
#11
18.72.5
12.314.8
Auto3.5
Teleop11.9
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
45%Barge oddsMissed74%Barge oddsEarned