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Red78
177524.0
509833.7
962619.6
Blue96
512632.4
245729.6
596837.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82952040601201401607896

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+5
Teleop+24
Endgame+18
Fouls+18
AutonomousBlue +5
3Leave9
2Coral scored#2
12Coral points11
15Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +19
11Coral scored#11
39Coral points40
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
6Processor points12
4Net points16
10Algae points28
49Total teleop68
Reef
5L4#4
4L3#5
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#19
BargeRed +6
14Cage & park8
14Total endgame8
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points0
78Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5098
#15
33.70.1
35.435.4
Auto5.1
Teleop22.6
End5.9
blue by 3.7
37.40.6
29.430.0
Auto10.0
Teleop23.8
End3.6
Second
1775
#28
24.00.1
23.323.4
Auto4.9
Teleop16.9
End2.1
blue by 8.4
5126
#18
32.40.6
28.829.4
Auto5.3
Teleop25.2
End1.9
Third
9626
#25
19.60.1
18.018.2
Auto0.9
Teleop16.4
End2.3
blue by 10.0
29.60.6
28.429.0
Auto3.3
Teleop23.6
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
24%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsEarned15%Barge oddsMissed