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Red107
941047.2
591820.2
93529.9
Blue129
184736.3
580944.9
555039.0
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8212050100150107129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+20
0Endgame0
Fouls+22
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points7
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +10
16Coral scored#15
59Coral points55
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
6Processor points12
12Net points20
18Algae points32
77Total teleop87
Reef
8L4#5
4L3#5
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#23
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +22
0Foul points22
107Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9410
#14
47.21.7
37.138.8
Auto7.9
Teleop29.5
End9.8
red by 2.3
44.90.1
36.636.5
Auto8.8
Teleop33.9
End2.2
Second
935
#33
29.91.7
27.429.0
Auto3.2
Teleop23.6
End3.2
blue by 9.1
5550
#17
39.00.2
27.727.5
Auto7.7
Teleop28.0
End3.3
Third
5918
#27
20.22.8
17.520.3
Auto2.6
Teleop16.1
End1.5
blue by 16.1
1847
#13
36.30.1
44.144.0
Auto7.1
Teleop27.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsMissed91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsEarned