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Red143
182541.9
198767.5
882540.3
Blue99
162223.5
328443.3
445516.4
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions155695010020025014399

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+19Auto
+34Teleop
+42Endgame
+44Fouls
AutonomousRed +19
9Leave0
5Coral scored#3
25Coral points15
34Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +15
20Coral scored#18
73Coral points64
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
93Total teleop78
Reef
9L4#9
7L3#7
6L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
29Game pieces#24
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +44
2Foul points0
143Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.50.1
58.558.7
Auto13.5
Teleop43.4
End10.5
red by 24.2
3284
#12
43.31.2
40.641.9
Auto6.5
Teleop35.1
End1.6
Second
1825
#16
41.90.1
35.735.9
Auto11.8
Teleop26.1
End3.9
red by 18.4
1622
#30
23.51.2
15.516.8
Auto5.2
Teleop16.3
End1.9
Third
40.30.1
33.433.5
Auto4.5
Teleop30.5
End5.3
red by 23.9
4455
#32
16.41.2
13.014.3
Auto4.7
Teleop7.4
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
23%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsMissed