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Red78
198214.2
664736.7
199730.3
Blue97
425635.5
942833.4
176923.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8510440601201401607897

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+9
Endgame+21
Fouls+19
AutonomousBlue +6
0Leave3
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points13
10Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +3
13Coral scored#10
46Coral points37
2Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
12Processor points12
4Net points16
16Algae points28
62Total teleop65
Reef
7L4#5
3L3#3
2L2#4
3L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +19
2Foul points0
78Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6647
#29
36.70.2
36.436.2
Auto3.8
Teleop30.6
End2.3
red by 1.2
35.50.3
36.136.4
Auto7.7
Teleop21.5
End6.3
Second
1997
#23
30.30.2
26.126.0
Auto3.6
Teleop25.9
End0.7
blue by 3.1
9428
#19
33.40.3
30.330.6
Auto4.9
Teleop25.4
End3.1
Third
1982
#34
14.20.3
15.915.7
Auto3.1
Teleop8.4
End2.7
blue by 9.6
1769
#20
23.80.3
26.326.6
Auto4.6
Teleop17.6
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsMissed64%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed66%Barge oddsEarned