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Red72
684320.0
962619.6
526840.0
Blue125
235740.6
316023.7
596837.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79855060709010011012072125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+51
Endgame+51
Fouls+53
AutonomousBlue +17
6Leave6
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points17
6Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +34
10Coral scored#18
36Coral points64
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
50Total teleop84
Reef
3L4#7
3L3#7
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
13Game pieces#25
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +53
0Foul points2
72Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5268
#24
40.00.2
36.636.4
Auto6.2
Teleop28.3
End5.5
blue by 0.6
2357
#10
40.62.9
36.539.4
Auto9.2
Teleop28.3
End3.2
Second
6843
#22
20.00.2
20.119.9
Auto3.7
Teleop10.5
End5.7
blue by 17.4
37.42.9
30.032.9
Auto10.0
Teleop23.8
End3.6
Third
9626
#25
19.60.3
18.217.9
Auto0.9
Teleop16.4
End2.3
blue by 4.1
3160
#21
23.72.9
13.015.9
Auto2.8
Teleop17.1
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsEarned25%Barge oddsEarned