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Red115
176318.2
555039.0
173055.5
Blue107
591820.2
512632.4
580944.9
83%Model gave it17%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114896080100120140160115107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
Teleop+4
+6Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
6Leave3
6Coral scored#2
31Coral points10
37Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +28
11Coral scored#20
40Coral points72
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
6Processor points6
16Net points12
22Algae points18
62Total teleop90
Reef
7L4#10
3L3#7
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#26
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
2Foul points0
115Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.50.6
59.359.9
Auto12.4
Teleop34.8
End8.4
red by 10.7
44.91.4
36.537.9
Auto8.8
Teleop33.9
End2.2
Second
5550
#17
39.00.9
27.528.5
Auto7.7
Teleop28.0
End3.3
red by 6.7
5126
#18
32.41.4
29.430.8
Auto5.3
Teleop25.2
End1.9
Third
1763
#31
18.20.6
17.117.7
Auto3.8
Teleop13.2
End1.2
blue by 2.0
5918
#27
20.22.2
20.322.4
Auto2.6
Teleop16.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned55%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
13%Coral oddsEarned9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
80%Barge oddsEarned13%Barge oddsMissed