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Red118
328443.3
509833.7
245729.6
Blue72
445516.4
180218.2
941047.2
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125745010015020011872

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+34Teleop
+40Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave6
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +28
19Coral scored#14
68Coral points52
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
6Processor points6
16Net points4
22Algae points10
90Total teleop62
Reef
8L4#7
5L3#4
4L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
26Game pieces#16
BargeRed +6
10Cage & park4
10Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +46
6Foul points0
118Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3284
#12
43.30.0
41.941.9
Auto6.5
Teleop35.1
End1.6
blue by 3.9
9410
#14
47.20.3
38.838.5
Auto7.9
Teleop29.5
End9.8
Second
5098
#15
33.70.0
35.435.5
Auto5.1
Teleop22.6
End5.9
red by 15.4
1802
#26
18.20.5
17.717.2
Auto2.0
Teleop15.0
End1.2
Third
29.60.0
29.029.1
Auto3.3
Teleop23.6
End2.6
red by 13.1
4455
#32
16.40.3
14.314.0
Auto4.7
Teleop7.4
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned50%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed56%Barge oddsMissed