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Red153
580944.9
596837.4
328443.3
Blue107
962619.6
176318.2
235740.6
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1317550100150200153107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+48Teleop
+46Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
9Leave6
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points3
29Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +28
24Coral scored#18
86Coral points64
4Processor algae#3
3Net algae#3
24Processor points18
12Net points12
36Algae points30
122Total teleop94
Reef
12L4#7
5L3#6
6L2#4
5L1 · trough#2
35Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +46
0Foul points0
153Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.91.9
37.939.9
Auto8.8
Teleop33.9
End2.2
red by 4.2
2357
#10
40.61.4
39.440.8
Auto9.2
Teleop28.3
End3.2
Second
3284
#12
43.31.9
41.943.8
Auto6.5
Teleop35.1
End1.6
red by 23.7
9626
#25
19.62.0
17.919.9
Auto0.9
Teleop16.4
End2.3
Third
37.41.9
32.934.9
Auto10.0
Teleop23.8
End3.6
red by 19.1
1763
#31
18.21.4
17.719.1
Auto3.8
Teleop13.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned38%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsMissed