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Red59
591820.2
425635.5
509833.7
Blue119
176923.8
245729.6
173055.5
12%Model gave it88%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9712640608014016018059119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+40
Endgame+42
Fouls+60
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave0
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points12
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +44
8Coral scored#18
29Coral points63
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
6Processor points12
4Net points8
10Algae points20
39Total teleop83
Reef
4L4#8
3L3#6
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
13Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +60
0Foul points18
59Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.52.4
37.635.1
Auto7.7
Teleop21.5
End6.3
blue by 20.1
55.51.0
59.958.9
Auto12.4
Teleop34.8
End8.4
Second
5098
#15
33.72.4
35.533.0
Auto5.1
Teleop22.6
End5.9
red by 4.1
29.61.0
29.128.1
Auto3.3
Teleop23.6
End2.6
Third
5918
#27
20.23.5
22.418.9
Auto2.6
Teleop16.1
End1.5
blue by 3.6
1769
#20
23.81.0
27.126.1
Auto4.6
Teleop17.6
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed20%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
73%Barge oddsMissed77%Barge oddsMissed