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Red69
93529.9
184736.3
198214.2
Blue123
199730.3
316023.7
555039.0
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1027002040608012014016069123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+44
Endgame+54
Fouls+54
AutonomousBlue +8
3Leave3
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points14
9Total auto17
TeleoperatedBlue +36
11Coral scored#13
38Coral points48
1Processor algae#4
3Net algae#5
6Processor points24
12Net points20
18Algae points44
56Total teleop92
Reef
5L4#4
3L3#6
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +54
0Foul points0
69Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1847
#13
36.31.8
43.541.7
Auto7.1
Teleop27.0
End2.2
blue by 2.7
5550
#17
39.04.5
28.533.0
Auto7.7
Teleop28.0
End3.3
Second
935
#33
29.91.8
30.228.4
Auto3.2
Teleop23.6
End3.2
blue by 0.4
1997
#23
30.33.1
25.528.6
Auto3.6
Teleop25.9
End0.7
Third
1982
#34
14.22.6
17.114.5
Auto3.1
Teleop8.4
End2.7
blue by 9.5
3160
#21
23.73.1
15.919.0
Auto2.8
Teleop17.1
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsMissed57%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsEarned