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Red195
526840.0
580160.1
882540.3
Blue176
941047.2
664736.7
182541.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13712380100160180195176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+35Teleop
+15Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave6
5Coral scored#3
27Coral points17
33Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +25
33Coral scored#24
120Coral points87
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#7
12Processor points12
20Net points28
32Algae points40
152Total teleop127
Reef
13L4#11
13L3#6
7L2#4
5L1 · trough#6
45Game pieces#36
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
4Foul points0
195Total score176

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.13.5
51.555.0
Auto10.9
Teleop42.1
End7.1
red by 13.0
9410
#14
47.23.1
38.541.5
Auto7.9
Teleop29.5
End9.8
Second
40.33.5
34.437.9
Auto4.5
Teleop30.5
End5.3
blue by 1.6
1825
#16
41.93.1
36.439.4
Auto11.8
Teleop26.1
End3.9
Third
5268
#24
40.03.5
36.439.9
Auto6.2
Teleop28.3
End5.5
red by 3.3
6647
#29
36.73.1
38.041.1
Auto3.8
Teleop30.6
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed22%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
91%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsEarned