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Red154
171049.2
180218.2
198767.5
Blue89
162223.5
512632.4
128812.4
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15058010020025015489

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+53Teleop
+67Endgame
+65Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave6
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points7
23Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +43
24Coral scored#13
87Coral points48
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
12Processor points12
16Net points12
28Algae points24
115Total teleop72
Reef
10L4#6
7L3#4
6L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
33Game pieces#19
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +65
0Foul points2
154Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.51.1
62.563.6
Auto13.5
Teleop43.4
End10.5
red by 35.1
5126
#18
32.40.9
30.831.7
Auto5.3
Teleop25.2
End1.9
Second
49.21.1
47.148.1
Auto10.9
Teleop35.6
End2.6
red by 25.7
1622
#30
23.50.9
20.621.5
Auto5.2
Teleop16.3
End1.9
Third
1802
#26
18.21.5
17.218.8
Auto2.0
Teleop15.0
End1.2
red by 5.8
1288
#35
12.40.9
10.611.6
Auto2.3
Teleop8.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned30%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
26%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
68%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsMissed