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Red67
942833.4
706418.7
684320.0
Blue41
180611.2
445516.4
177524.0
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions834802040601001201401606741

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
+24Teleop
+26Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousRed +2
0Leave6
3Coral scored#1
15Coral points7
15Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +22
6Coral scored#3
22Coral points10
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
36Total teleop14
Reef
4L4#1
2L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#5
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +26
0Foul points0
67Total score41

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9428
#19
33.40.4
32.432.0
Auto4.9
Teleop25.4
End3.1
red by 9.4
1775
#28
24.00.6
24.624.0
Auto4.9
Teleop16.9
End2.1
Second
6843
#22
20.00.4
19.919.5
Auto3.7
Teleop10.5
End5.7
red by 3.6
4455
#32
16.40.6
14.013.4
Auto4.7
Teleop7.4
End4.4
Third
7064
#11
18.70.6
20.720.1
Auto3.5
Teleop11.9
End3.3
red by 7.4
1806
#36
11.20.6
11.010.4
Auto1.5
Teleop6.6
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsEarned21%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsEarned