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Red115
173055.5
184736.3
425635.5
Blue84
176318.2
93529.9
596837.4
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1538105010020011584

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+21Teleop
+31Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave6
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points6
22Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +11
14Coral scored#14
51Coral points50
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
12Processor points6
16Net points12
28Algae points18
79Total teleop68
Reef
7L4#6
5L3#3
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#19
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +31
0Foul points0
115Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.51.6
58.957.3
Auto12.4
Teleop34.8
End8.4
red by 18.2
37.40.3
34.934.6
Auto10.0
Teleop23.8
End3.6
Second
1847
#13
36.31.6
41.740.2
Auto7.1
Teleop27.0
End2.2
red by 6.4
935
#33
29.90.3
28.428.1
Auto3.2
Teleop23.6
End3.2
Third
35.51.6
35.133.6
Auto7.7
Teleop21.5
End6.3
red by 17.2
1763
#31
18.20.3
19.118.8
Auto3.8
Teleop13.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned61%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
43%Coral oddsEarned13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned22%Barge oddsMissed