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Red147
882540.3
555039.0
235740.6
Blue176
580160.1
182541.9
509833.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12014250100200250147176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+3Teleop
Endgame+5
Fouls+29
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave6
4Coral scored#5
20Coral points27
23Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +13
22Coral scored#17
80Coral points61
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#4
12Processor points18
16Net points16
28Algae points34
108Total teleop95
Reef
12L4#9
6L3#6
6L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
32Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
0Foul points24
147Total score176

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2357
#10
40.62.4
40.843.1
Auto9.2
Teleop28.3
End3.2
blue by 19.5
60.11.6
55.056.6
Auto10.9
Teleop42.1
End7.1
Second
40.32.4
37.940.3
Auto4.5
Teleop30.5
End5.3
blue by 1.6
1825
#16
41.91.6
39.441.1
Auto11.8
Teleop26.1
End3.9
Third
5550
#17
39.03.1
33.036.1
Auto7.7
Teleop28.0
End3.3
red by 5.4
5098
#15
33.71.6
33.034.7
Auto5.1
Teleop22.6
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed36%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
62%Barge oddsEarned74%Barge oddsEarned