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Red138
512632.4
171049.2
664736.7
Blue119
128812.4
328443.3
316023.7
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1447850100200138119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+22Auto
+9Teleop
+19Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousRed +22
3Leave6
6Coral scored#1
31Coral points6
34Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +13
21Coral scored#20
74Coral points73
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
88Total teleop101
Reef
12L4#8
7L3#7
3L2#4
5L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#27
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points0
138Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.20.2
48.148.3
Auto10.9
Teleop35.6
End2.6
red by 5.9
3284
#12
43.32.0
43.845.9
Auto6.5
Teleop35.1
End1.6
Second
6647
#29
36.70.2
41.141.2
Auto3.8
Teleop30.6
End2.3
red by 13.0
3160
#21
23.72.0
19.021.1
Auto2.8
Teleop17.1
End3.8
Third
5126
#18
32.40.2
31.731.9
Auto5.3
Teleop25.2
End1.9
red by 20.0
1288
#35
12.42.0
11.613.6
Auto2.3
Teleop8.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned51%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsEarned19%Barge oddsMissed