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Red94
184736.3
235740.6
176923.8
Blue69
180218.2
316023.7
509833.7
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125760501001502009469

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+27Teleop
+15Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave0
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points12
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +16
12Coral scored#8
43Coral points27
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
57Total teleop41
Reef
5L4#4
4L3#2
3L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +25
10Foul points0
94Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2357
#10
40.62.2
43.140.9
Auto9.2
Teleop28.3
End3.2
red by 7.0
5098
#15
33.71.0
34.733.7
Auto5.1
Teleop22.6
End5.9
Second
1847
#13
36.32.2
40.237.9
Auto7.1
Teleop27.0
End2.2
red by 12.6
3160
#21
23.71.0
21.120.1
Auto2.8
Teleop17.1
End3.8
Third
1769
#20
23.82.2
26.624.4
Auto4.6
Teleop17.6
End1.6
red by 5.6
1802
#26
18.21.2
19.518.2
Auto2.0
Teleop15.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned35%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsEarned