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Red87
173055.5
128812.4
93529.9
Blue86
882540.3
328443.3
664736.7
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110153501002002508786

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+13
Endgame+5
+1Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +13
11Coral scored#12
40Coral points43
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
6Processor points12
12Net points16
18Algae points28
58Total teleop71
Reef
3L4#6
4L3#4
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#19
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
6Foul points0
87Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.51.2
57.356.1
Auto12.4
Teleop34.8
End8.4
red by 12.3
3284
#12
43.33.0
45.942.9
Auto6.5
Teleop35.1
End1.6
Second
935
#33
29.91.2
28.126.9
Auto3.2
Teleop23.6
End3.2
blue by 10.4
40.33.0
40.337.3
Auto4.5
Teleop30.5
End5.3
Third
1288
#35
12.41.2
13.612.4
Auto2.3
Teleop8.8
End1.3
blue by 24.3
6647
#29
36.73.0
41.238.3
Auto3.8
Teleop30.6
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsMissed73%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
30%Coral oddsMissed19%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
64%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsMissed